From
The
Wall Street Journal (link
with pay wall) May 13: Fannie
and Freddie Back More Mortgages of Those Deeply in Debt. The following quoted text is from the article.
"An
increasing number of loans are going to borrowers with debt-to-income
ratios of 43% or higher."
"Almost
30% of loans that mortgage giants Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac packaged
into bonds last year went to home buyers whose total debt payments
amounted to more than 43% of their incomes, according to an analysis
by industry research group Inside Mortgage Finance. The share has
nearly doubled since 2015."
"Some
say cheap, federally backed financing has made credit available for
millions of borrowers who otherwise might not have had a shot at
homeownership. Others say that more-indebted borrowers are riskier,
and that their purchases may be accentuating a rise in home prices
that in many areas has outstripped median incomes."
Of
course, there is more to judging default risk than a simple rule like
total debt payments amounting to more than 43% of income. (It is still a worthy metric.) There are
credit scores and what other cash needs and resources the borrower
has. There is the purpose
of the loan -- first time buyer, refinance, and refinance with cash
out. Empirical studies show different default/foreclosure rates among
them. (The three are ordered low to high.) Before the housing crisis that began in the 2000s, the debt to
income limit (DTI) in practice for conventional fixed-rate loans was
circa 35%. But I disagree with the first side. A lower DTI does not
bar
people from a shot at home-ownership. It only requires they buy a
cheaper house they can better afford!
Of
course, if defaults ensue, it won't be the Fannie and Freddie
rule-makers who suffer the financial consequences of default. It will
be the borrower, who is owed, and millions of others. I don't object to a private lender making
riskier loans, but government support of it is “a horse of a
different color.”
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