An argument advocates of Medicare for All often make is that administrative costs would be far lower than private insurance. They typically say Medicare's administrative cost is only 2-3% of its spending, compared to 12% of revenues for private insurer. Since Medicare's revenues aren't much different than its spending, the different italicized terms matters little. However, there are plenty of other things that make it an "apples and oranges" comparison.
This Mises Institute article gives several counter-arguments. It seems to mostly copy a Heritage Foundation article more than 10 years old. The following counter-arguments are from the articles and some of my own:
1. "Social Security administers the collection of Medicare premiums. The IRS collects the taxes. Health and Human Services pays for building and marketing costs, as well as accounting and related concerns. Attributing those costs correctly would roughly double Medicare’s administrative costs."
In the Medicare 2019 Trustees Report administrative cost was about 1.7% of expenditures in 2018. The breakdown includes amounts paid to other government departments, including IRS and HHS. I don't know how realistic they are. So this argument the articles make seems weak or false.
2. "Medicare patients are far older and less healthy — and more than twice as costly, on average, than younger people in private plans. But having less than half the health care costs per beneficiary more than doubles private insurance’s administrative cost as a percentage of total costs, than if the more accurate measure — administrative cost per beneficiary — was used." A different source I found with more detail said that Medicare's cost per beneficiary is about three times that of private health insurance.
This is a good argument. Expressing administrative costs as a percent of total cost instead of per beneficiary is biased.
3. Private insurers pay premium taxes to states that Medicare does not. The tax averages about 2%. Private insurers, at least for-profit ones, pay income taxes, which Medicare doesn't. How much is difficult to quantify, since there are both for-profits and non-profits, but let's assume it's about 2%.
4. Some private insurer revenues go towards profit and marketing. Private insurers need to advertise and pay salespeople to persuade customers to buy their product. Medicare doesn't. Its revenues are required by law and backed by force.
5. A significant part of a private insurer's administrative cost consists of complying with Medicare rules, regulation, and practices. Since they are ever-changing, simply keeping up-to-date adds to such cost. This is especially true for insurers that administer Medicare Advantage policies.
6. The costs private insurers bear for administering Medicare Advantage policies is done on behalf of Medicare. Medicare dictates that the policies must cover at least what original Medicare does. Medicare pays these insurers a lot of money to do so. It was about $11,000 per person covered in 2018. So such costs can be regarded as Medicare "off the books" administrative costs.
7. Medicare imposes administrative costs on providers, which aren't included in Medicare's spending. Providers must submit the forms and procedure codes to, and demanded by, Medicare in order to be reimbursed. This story reports that doctors spend almost half their time on paperwork and electronic records.
I'm not convinced that Medicare's administrative costs are higher than private insurance, like the Mises Institute and Heritage Foundation claim. However, Medicare's administrative costs are understated when provider costs aren't included and should be lower given Medicare's much larger size than any single private insurer. Regardless, other things matter, too. Medicare operates by force; private insurers don't. This difference matters little or none to advocates of Medicare for All.
This article has more detail about administrative costs, especially of providers.
Tuesday, December 31, 2019
Saturday, December 28, 2019
The Truth About Income Inequality
Many
studies of inequality and claims about it consider only income and sometimes only
taxable income. The Wall Street Journal has an article also
including taxes and welfare benefits, which yields quite different
statistical results. The article is behind a paywall, so I
give a key quote. “In
all, leaving out taxes and most transfers overstates inequality by
more than 300%, as measured by the ratio of the top quintile’s
income to the bottom quintile’s.” A graph neatly illustrates the
difference.
I
don't have the data to verify the numbers, but at least the authors
were on the right track. One of the big problems with Thomas
Piketty's Capital
in the Twenty-First Century is
that Piketty ignored taxes and transfer payments. My review of
Piketty's popular book on Amazon is here.
Thursday, December 26, 2019
Dirty secrets of capitalism??
The
speaker in this
video of a TED
talk, Nick Hanauer,
claims the “dirty little
secret” of capitalism is neoliberal economic theory. He
claims
the assumptions
of neoliberalism are wrong,
especially “selfishness.” The “new” economics he supports
holds
cooperation and reciprocity as central. He doesn’t explain what
“reciprocity” means. Is it trade, in
which customers pay for
products or services? Does it include
employers paying its own employees?
The
Mises
Institute responds to that part of the TED talk here.
Excerpts:
-
“But Hanauer can’t bring himself to praise that kind of
cooperation and reciprocity because market exchange also involves
self-interest and competition.”
-
“Reciprocity and cooperation are indeed good things. But contrary
to what Hanauer thinks, they are, in fact, the very basis of
capitalism, a system of voluntary exchanges.”
Like
many people do, Hanauer seems to regard selfishness and altruism as
wholly mutually exclusive. Some actions are entirely one or the
other, but not all are. Suppose a wife buys groceries for herself,
her husband, and their children. Suppose one partner of a business
acts for the benefit of the partnership that benefits the other
partner(s) as well. Are such actions selfish or altruistic? Or both?
Hanauer
claims that neoliberalism holds that the purpose of a corporation is
only to enrich the
shareholders. Not exactly, at
least per the main advocate of a similar
idea. Milton Friedman said
it was the main
purpose (link);
“main” and “only”
aren’t identical.
More
than three years before this
TED talk, Richard Epstein debated Hanauer
about Hanauer’s idea of “middle out” economics (contra
“top-down” or “trickle down”) and
a minimum wage (link).
Monday, December 23, 2019
In the wake of ITEP’s report
Per Newsweek and relying on ITEP’s report about corporate income taxes, Bernie Sanders took the opportunity to tweet:
Amazon CenturyLink Chevron Deere Delta Air Lines Eli Lilly
FedEx Gannett General Motors Goodyear Honeywell JetBlue
MGM Resorts Netflix Prudential Financial Starbucks Whirlpool
The Cato Institute had this to say about ITEP’s report. Included: “The study relies on taxes reported on financial statements, but those are often quite different than actual IRS payments, which are private and undisclosed.”
Yahoo Finance had a story on December 4: Biden Unveils $3.2 Trillion Tax Plan Targeting Corporations Like Amazon. The date is before ITEP’s December 16 report, but ITEP published earlier articles about 2018 corporate income taxes of Amazon, Netflix, and many other companies. The main part of his plan is a minimum tax rate of 15% of net income before tax. For individual taxpayers, it would stop the “stepped-up basis” at death for taxing capital gains.
Update 1/12/2020: The Dallas Morning News here reported -- relying on ITEP's faulty report -- that American Airlines paid no U.S. federal income taxes for 2018. In fact, American Airlines' income tax provision was $424 million, $390 of it U.S. federal. ITEP ignored the $390 million because it was "deferred." It actually is only deferred from previous years and recognized in the current year.
Amazon CenturyLink Chevron Deere Delta Air Lines Eli Lilly
FedEx Gannett General Motors Goodyear Honeywell JetBlue
MGM Resorts Netflix Prudential Financial Starbucks Whirlpool
Total federal income tax paid by these companies last year: $0 [End]
Sanders carelessly trusted ITEP’s flawed report:
- He used “paid”, like ITEP often does, despite the fact that taxes shown in ITEP’s report are GAAP accounting provisions.
- The income tax provision of nine of the 17 companies Sanders names flips from negative to positive when the deferred part of income tax expense is included. ITEP excluded it.
- ITEP showed a tax for Starbucks of -$74.8 million. I don’t know where they got this number. Starbucks’ 10-K accessible here doesn’t show it. The 10-K shows positive U.S. federal income tax provisions – both “current” and “current + deferred” – for fiscal years ended 9/30/2018 and 9/30/2019.
- He used “paid”, like ITEP often does, despite the fact that taxes shown in ITEP’s report are GAAP accounting provisions.
- The income tax provision of nine of the 17 companies Sanders names flips from negative to positive when the deferred part of income tax expense is included. ITEP excluded it.
- ITEP showed a tax for Starbucks of -$74.8 million. I don’t know where they got this number. Starbucks’ 10-K accessible here doesn’t show it. The 10-K shows positive U.S. federal income tax provisions – both “current” and “current + deferred” – for fiscal years ended 9/30/2018 and 9/30/2019.
The Cato Institute had this to say about ITEP’s report. Included: “The study relies on taxes reported on financial statements, but those are often quite different than actual IRS payments, which are private and undisclosed.”
Yahoo Finance had a story on December 4: Biden Unveils $3.2 Trillion Tax Plan Targeting Corporations Like Amazon. The date is before ITEP’s December 16 report, but ITEP published earlier articles about 2018 corporate income taxes of Amazon, Netflix, and many other companies. The main part of his plan is a minimum tax rate of 15% of net income before tax. For individual taxpayers, it would stop the “stepped-up basis” at death for taxing capital gains.
Update 1/12/2020: The Dallas Morning News here reported -- relying on ITEP's faulty report -- that American Airlines paid no U.S. federal income taxes for 2018. In fact, American Airlines' income tax provision was $424 million, $390 of it U.S. federal. ITEP ignored the $390 million because it was "deferred." It actually is only deferred from previous years and recognized in the current year.
Saturday, December 21, 2019
12/19/2019 Biden vs Sanders re M4A
I didn’t watch the Democratic debate, but the Los Angeles Times has a story about a testy exchange between Joe Biden and Bernie Sanders regarding Medicare for All (M4A). This video shows Sanders touting his plan. This video shows Biden touting his plan, criticizing Sanders’ M4A, Sanders’ response, and then the testy part.
Biden’s criticisms of M4A were the cost and “ending private insurance could upend the lives of millions of Americans who have negotiated their healthcare costs with their employers” per the LA Times story. So regarding ending private insurance Biden states explicit concern only for unionized workers. He doesn’t mention non-unionized employees who have insurance via their employers. He doesn’t mention Medicare Advantage, which is private insurance that covers 20 million or so people. He doesn’t mention Medicare supplement (Medigap) policies, also private insurance, which 30 million or so people pay for to cover substantial medical costs that original Medicare doesn’t.
Why doesn’t Biden (and other politicians and the media) question Sanders about eliminating Medicare Advantage, and Medigap policies, and Medicare prescription drugs insurance like I wrote about here? Also, note that Sanders does not mention them in the first video above. Why doesn’t Biden (and other politicians and the media) question Sanders about job-related health insurance for government employees like I wrote about here? Until he answers these questions in some detail, his proposed Medicare for All is a floating abstraction, based on little more than comparing other countries’ healthcare spending as a percent of GDP to the U.S.’s. On second thought, there is also his moral outrage. His moral code is coercive altruism, with government looting and edicts as permissible means.
Biden’s criticisms of M4A were the cost and “ending private insurance could upend the lives of millions of Americans who have negotiated their healthcare costs with their employers” per the LA Times story. So regarding ending private insurance Biden states explicit concern only for unionized workers. He doesn’t mention non-unionized employees who have insurance via their employers. He doesn’t mention Medicare Advantage, which is private insurance that covers 20 million or so people. He doesn’t mention Medicare supplement (Medigap) policies, also private insurance, which 30 million or so people pay for to cover substantial medical costs that original Medicare doesn’t.
Why doesn’t Biden (and other politicians and the media) question Sanders about eliminating Medicare Advantage, and Medigap policies, and Medicare prescription drugs insurance like I wrote about here? Also, note that Sanders does not mention them in the first video above. Why doesn’t Biden (and other politicians and the media) question Sanders about job-related health insurance for government employees like I wrote about here? Until he answers these questions in some detail, his proposed Medicare for All is a floating abstraction, based on little more than comparing other countries’ healthcare spending as a percent of GDP to the U.S.’s. On second thought, there is also his moral outrage. His moral code is coercive altruism, with government looting and edicts as permissible means.
Thursday, December 19, 2019
ITEP and income taxes for 3 banks
Let’s compare ITEP’s reporting to the three banks’ 10-K or annual report. If a viewer clicks on “Appendices” in ITEP's report and “Alphabetical” on the next page, then the resulting table shows 379 major companies along with their alleged taxes paid in dollars and percent of profit. Only three show a profit more than $25 billion – the three banks named above.
General Comments
Bank of America’s 10-K page 98: “Current income tax expense reflects taxes to be paid or refunded for the current period. Deferred income tax expense results from changes in deferred tax assets and liabilities between periods.”
Wells Fargo’s annual report page 115: “Current income tax expense represents our estimated taxes to be paid or refunded for the current period and includes income tax expense related to our uncertain tax positions. Deferred income tax expense results from changes in deferred tax assets and liabilities between periods.”
Deferred tax assets and deferred tax liabilities are firstly balance sheet numbers. Like the two banks explain, it is only how much the balance changes between the start and end of the reporting period that affects the statement of income and expenses for the reporting period. If the “deferred” part of the expense was combined with the “current” part, there would be no reason to show the deferred expense part separately. “Current + deferred” better corresponds and coheres with reality. 😊 The deferred expense part should not be ignored, but ITEP does it anyway.
Wells Fargo’s annual report page 115: “Current income tax expense represents our estimated taxes to be paid or refunded for the current period and includes income tax expense related to our uncertain tax positions. Deferred income tax expense results from changes in deferred tax assets and liabilities between periods.”
Deferred tax assets and deferred tax liabilities are firstly balance sheet numbers. Like the two banks explain, it is only how much the balance changes between the start and end of the reporting period that affects the statement of income and expenses for the reporting period. If the “deferred” part of the expense was combined with the “current” part, there would be no reason to show the deferred expense part separately. “Current + deferred” better corresponds and coheres with reality. 😊 The deferred expense part should not be ignored, but ITEP does it anyway.
Tuesday, December 17, 2019
Three more questions nobody asks Bernie Sanders about M4A
This video shows some young people's opinions about Medicare for All. When they first hear about it from the likes of Bernie Sanders -- political sound bites and propaganda -- their response is favorable. "Great. Free stuff." After they learn a little more about it -- what it would cost them, how some people would lose their jobs, and how it would eliminate health insurance that about half the population now has through and largely paid for by their employers -- they are shocked and many no longer favor it.
I am not surprised by how little young people know about health insurance. It's way down the list of their concerns and they don't question the pied pipers of Medicare for All. Health insurance is largely a concern of older people. Here I asked some questions that nobody asks Bernie Sanders about M4A that affect mostly people who have health insurance via employers.
I searched for the terms {Bernie Sanders eliminate private insurance advantage supplement} using Google and DuckDuckGo. Sanders proposes to "eliminate private insurance" but I am not aware that he has specifically proposed eliminating Medicare Advantage, Medicare supplement (Medigap) policies, and Medicare Part D prescription drug policies. His own press release in April doesn't mention them. The links on the page don't either. All are products of private insurers. Looking at a few of the results from my search, I saw none that mentioned eliminating these three kinds of coverage. Sanders' primary target is employer-based health insurance coverage, at least private sector employers (link). His wanting "no copays or deductibles" at least suggests eliminating Medicare supplement (Medigap) policies.
Thus the three additional questions are: Do you propose to eliminate Medicare Advantage? Do you propose to eliminate Medicare supplement (Medigap) policies? Do you propose to eliminate Medicare Part D prescription drug policies?
Replacing them with Medicare would either eliminate what they cover beyond current Medicare or require a large expansion of Medicare benefits. Most likely Bernie proposes the latter. He surely does when he talks about no copays or deductibles and small maximum costs to patients for prescription drugs.
Medicare Advantage is a substitute for original Medicare. The federal government, more specifically the Center for Medicare Services, heavily controls Medicare Advantage. The policies must cover at least what original Medicare does. The insurers receive most of their funding from Medicare. How much is pretty complicated (link). The national average was about $10,000 per person enrolled in 2018. Those enrolled -- about 20.4 million people now -- also pay copays, deductibles, and some pay premiums (link). Medicare also subsidizes Part D prescription drug insurers.
A Wall Street Journal article (paywalled) reports that Sanders wants his young supporters to help him win over their parents. If they try, they better not mention health insurance! Sanders wants to eliminate their parents and grandparents private health insurance.
The Atlantic reports: "Bernie Sanders, by contrast, leads all candidates among voters under 30 and polls just 5 percent among voters over 65. In a national Quinnipiac poll asking voters which candidate has the best ideas, Sanders crushes Biden 27 percent to 4 percent among those under 35 and receives an equal and opposite crushing at the hands of Biden among voters over 65: 28 percent to 4 percent."
I am not surprised by how little young people know about health insurance. It's way down the list of their concerns and they don't question the pied pipers of Medicare for All. Health insurance is largely a concern of older people. Here I asked some questions that nobody asks Bernie Sanders about M4A that affect mostly people who have health insurance via employers.
I searched for the terms {Bernie Sanders eliminate private insurance advantage supplement} using Google and DuckDuckGo. Sanders proposes to "eliminate private insurance" but I am not aware that he has specifically proposed eliminating Medicare Advantage, Medicare supplement (Medigap) policies, and Medicare Part D prescription drug policies. His own press release in April doesn't mention them. The links on the page don't either. All are products of private insurers. Looking at a few of the results from my search, I saw none that mentioned eliminating these three kinds of coverage. Sanders' primary target is employer-based health insurance coverage, at least private sector employers (link). His wanting "no copays or deductibles" at least suggests eliminating Medicare supplement (Medigap) policies.
Thus the three additional questions are: Do you propose to eliminate Medicare Advantage? Do you propose to eliminate Medicare supplement (Medigap) policies? Do you propose to eliminate Medicare Part D prescription drug policies?
Replacing them with Medicare would either eliminate what they cover beyond current Medicare or require a large expansion of Medicare benefits. Most likely Bernie proposes the latter. He surely does when he talks about no copays or deductibles and small maximum costs to patients for prescription drugs.
Medicare Advantage is a substitute for original Medicare. The federal government, more specifically the Center for Medicare Services, heavily controls Medicare Advantage. The policies must cover at least what original Medicare does. The insurers receive most of their funding from Medicare. How much is pretty complicated (link). The national average was about $10,000 per person enrolled in 2018. Those enrolled -- about 20.4 million people now -- also pay copays, deductibles, and some pay premiums (link). Medicare also subsidizes Part D prescription drug insurers.
A Wall Street Journal article (paywalled) reports that Sanders wants his young supporters to help him win over their parents. If they try, they better not mention health insurance! Sanders wants to eliminate their parents and grandparents private health insurance.
The Atlantic reports: "Bernie Sanders, by contrast, leads all candidates among voters under 30 and polls just 5 percent among voters over 65. In a national Quinnipiac poll asking voters which candidate has the best ideas, Sanders crushes Biden 27 percent to 4 percent among those under 35 and receives an equal and opposite crushing at the hands of Biden among voters over 65: 28 percent to 4 percent."
Saturday, December 14, 2019
ITEP and J. P. Morgan's employee stock options
Two
days ago I commented on ITEP’s article How
Congress Can Stop Corporations from Using Stock Options to Dodge
Taxes. Table 1 in the article shows amounts of tax breaks
in 2018 for 25 corporations, including J.P.Morgan Chase & Co.,
second highest with an amount of $1.1 billion. The article says,
“Table 1 lists the 25 corporations disclosing the largest tax
breaks from stock options in 2018. The tax break listed for each
company is the tax decrease resulting from tax deductions it claimed
for stock options in excess of the stock option expenses reported on
its books.”
So ITEP describes the numbers as reductions
in taxes,
not the reduction in taxable
income. The former
is the latter times a
tax rate. I looked for
the $1.1 billion in
J.P.Morgan
Chase’s 2018 10-K.
It’s on page 210. "Income tax benefits related to share-based
incentive arrangements recognized in the Firm’s Consolidated
statements of income for the years ended December 31, 2018, 2017 and
2016, were $1.1 billion, $1.0 billion and $916 million,
respectively. The following table sets forth [ ] the actual income tax benefit related to
tax deductions from the exercise of the stock options." The table shows $75 million for 2018.
So it’s clear
that
$1.1 billion was
the reduction in taxable
income and $75
million was the
reduction in tax.
Why
did ITEP claim a
reduction in taxable income as a reduction in tax? $75 million would have put J.P.Morgan #25 or off the list. By the way, $75
million is
only 6.8% of $1.1
billion, whereas the
main corporate tax rate is 21%. I can’t reconcile the difference.
Perhaps the $1.1 billion includes some incentive compensation other
than nonqualified stock options. The
10-K refers to such plans (RSU and PSU).
Also
relevant to my recent posts about employee stock options is
the following on page
209 of
the 10-K: “The Firm’s
policy for issuing shares upon settlement of employee share-based
incentive awards is to issue either new shares of common stock or
treasury shares. During 2018, 2017 and 2016, the Firm settled all of
its employee share-based awards by issuing treasury shares.” In
other words, J.P.Morgan
Chase used what I
labeled Method 2 here,
a method none of ITEP’s articles mention.
The
tax break amount
ITEP shows
for Amazon (#1) matches
its 10-K and
is a reduction in tax. Ditto
for Facebook (#5). I didn't find ITEP's number for Google (#4) in its 10-K. So
there doesn't appear to be a systematic error.
Thursday, December 12, 2019
ITEP and employee stock options
Two
days ago ITEP published another article about employee stock options:
How
Congress Can Stop Corporations from Using Stock Options to Dodge
Taxes. One of its authors did a separate blogpost the same day, New Report from ITEP Explores the Stock Options Tax Dodge. It only echoes a part of the article.
My
December
8 post commented on ITEP’s previous articles about employee
stock options. I stated three methods a corporation could use to
supply the stock the employee receives upon exercise of the option.
This latest ITEPS article was again written as if there is only one method,
which I labeled Method 3, in which the corporation issues new stock.
The employee pays the exercise price.
In
some cases, perhaps most for the 25 companies the ITEP article shows
in Table 1, the company used Method 3. If so, I think ITEP has a
legitimate complaint – the tax deduction the corporation gets upon exercise is excessive. However, it is not so for
Method 1 and partly not so for Method 2, which I explained on December 8.
The
authors support the Levin-McCain proposal, or something like it,
to reform the amount of tax deduction a corporation gets. They
propose this: “If the Levin-McCain proposal had been in effect in
the hypothetical described above, the corporation at issue would have
reported a $10 million stock option compensation expense for book
purposes and deducted the exact same amount from its taxable income
in the year when the options were granted. The book expense
and tax deduction would have matched. The book expense and the tax
deduction would have been taken in the same year. No more valuation
gaps, no more timing differences, no more excessive tax deductions”
(my bold).
It shifts the taxable event from the exercise date – when
the value of the option is known – to the grant date – when the
future value of the option is very uncertain. That's radical and nutty.
First, they propose eliminating a non-cash expense, but invoke a different non-cash expense. Second, for GAAP
accounting companies start accruing an expense for employee stock
options when the grant is made. Upon exercise more accounting is
required to recognize what the option turns out to be actually worth
and the corporation’s actual cost. In contrast, the authors propose
to ignore entirely what happens upon exercise for the
employer’s taxes. They ignore or are unaware of what happens with
GAAP accounting upon exercise. “It is time to require the same type
of symmetry for stock options: the book expense and tax deduction
should match. After all, in our example, the $50 million in income to
the employee is irrelevant to the compensation cost of the employer,
which was reported at $10 million at the time the compensation was
awarded [the option was granted] to the employee years earlier.”
This
is nutty for the following reasons as well.
1.
Suppose an option expires worthless (market price of stock less than exercise price). The corporation gets a tax
deduction when the option is granted, but the corporation never
incurs an actual expense.
2.
Suppose an employee gets a grant and later quits when all or part
of the option is not vested. The corporation gets a tax deduction
when the option is granted, but the corporation never incurs an
actual expense for the non-vested part.
3.
Suppose the share price skyrockets, the option is exercised, and the
employer uses Method 1 or Method 2. The employer buys the stock when
the price is much more than the exercise price. The employer pays a
lot to meet its obligation – share price at purchase minus exercise
price. It’s an actual and significant expense, but ITEP proposes no
tax deduction for it.
Tuesday, December 10, 2019
ITEP and depreciation
One week ago I
gave an example to show how accelerated depreciation can lower a
corporation’s “effective” tax rate (link).
I assumed X Corp makes a capital expenditure, which it depreciates
over 5 years for GAAP accounting, but is all deducted immediately for
income tax purposes. For
the 5 years combined, the total depreciation for GAAP and tax
purposes are equal. The difference between the two series is a matter
of timing. To keep it simple I said nothing about what X Corp would
do with its initial tax savings.
ITEP
published two articles critical of accelerated depreciation on
November 19:
The
first article gives a link to the second one. The second article
shows two tables labeled Table 1a and Table 1b. Table 1a shows the GAAP
depreciation and Table 1b tax deductions for accelerated
depreciation. Over 20 years the sum of depreciation and tax
deductions are equal. The authors follow with: “The final line in
both Tables 1a and 1b illustrates the present value of the after-tax
profits in each year. ... Taking into account the “time value of
money” in this way, we see that the investment generates an
after-tax profit of $1,020 if economic depreciation applies and
$1,888 if full expensing is allowed.”
The
last sentence suggests the company benefits from accelerated
depreciation. On the
other hand, the federal government collects the same sum of taxes
either way, so the federal government gets no extra benefit from
allowing accelerated depreciation.
The first ITEP article calls accelerated depreciation a giveaway and an interest-free loan. A giveaway and a loan are not the same, so which is it?
The first ITEP article calls accelerated depreciation a giveaway and an interest-free loan. A giveaway and a loan are not the same, so which is it?
Their
analysis, backed up with the math, appears persuasive. However, there
is something missing. What will the company do with its initial tax
savings? Table 1b assumes nothing, which fits with the authors’
saying that the federal government in effect makes an interest-free
loan. That is a weak assumption. Assume instead the company invests its initial saving of
$1995 to earn 5% taxable interest yearly, drawing down the savings in
years 2-20 to pay the difference in taxes, $128 - $23. Per my
calculation the amount of interest each year averages – it varies
slightly – $95.27. The federal government will collect an average
of $95.27 * 21% = $20.28 more in taxes annually. For 19 years that is
$385 more than the $462 taxes shown in each table! The
federal government in effect makes a loan at 5%*21% = 1.05%. That’s
not interest-free, but it is low.
Assume
instead the company invests the initial savings to earn 6.1% taxable
interest yearly (the same as the $10,000 machine). Then for 19 years
the federal government will collect $539 more
than the $462 taxes shown in each table! The federal government in
effect makes a loan at 6.1%*21% = 1.28%. That’s still low, but not
zero.
I
am neither much in favor nor much against accelerated depreciation.
If, unlike the authors assume, the accelerated depreciation is used
by a company that eventually loses money rather than making a
profit, the federal government’s overall tax revenue is less than
zero. It’s a money loser. The accelerated depreciation is not quite
like a tax credit, which is more a giveaway than a loan. However, in
money losing cases, it has a similar de facto effect as a tax
credit.
Sunday, December 8, 2019
ITEP and three tax topics
The
Institute
on Taxation and Economic Policy’s
(ITEP) report
The
35 Percent Corporate Tax Myth
said
the
following:
-
Most big corporations give their executives (and sometimes other
employees) options to buy the company’s stock at a favorable price
in the future. When those options are exercised, companies can take a
tax deduction for the difference between what the employees pay for
the stock and what it’s worth.
-
Such stock options reduce their taxes by generating phantom “costs”
these corporations never incur.
-
This non-cash “expense” should not be deductible for either tax
or book (GAAP reporting to shareholders) purposes.
-
Tax
breaks such as stock options
lower the corporations “effective” tax rate well below the main
corporate rate on taxable income. Such
rate was 35% before the Tax Cuts and Jobs Act reduced it to 21%.
ITEP
has said this in a few other reports and articles, such as this one,
which includes: “One
tax loophole that Facebook has led the pack in exploiting is the
“stock option loophole.” Facebook and other big corporations
often compensate their executives with stock options (options to
purchase shares of company stock at a discounted rate). When those
options are exercised, the company is allowed to deduct from its
taxable income the difference between the value of the shares and
what the employee pays for the stock, even though the company doesn’t
have to spend anything to provide the stock option to its
executives.”
The
tax deduction part is true. But the quote
gives
the impression there
is only one method a
corporation can
use to
fulfill its part.
That
is, the
corporation creates new shares
and
incurs
no expense. However,
there are three methods.
Method
1. Like
I said here,
the corporation can buy the shares on the market. The
employee pays the exercise price. The corporation pay the rest –
market price minus exercise price. That’s
a current
cash expense
to
the corporation.
Method
2. The
corporation can transfer to the employee shares that it already
purchased on the market in anticipation of employees
exercising options
or by a stock repurchase/buyback.
This is not a current
cash expense, but it was
a cash expense. Such purchased stock is often called treasury stock. It’s carried at historical cost. It
seems the appropriate tax deduction should
be
the lesser
of (a) historical cost and (b) market
price minus exercise price. The
phrase “not
a current
cash expense” downplays
this method.
Method
3. The corporation can issue new shares. Suppose the employee’s
exercise price is $40 and the share price is $100. The corporation in
effect sells each share discounted $60. Cash and capital each
increase $40. There is no expense akin to $60 paying the employee a
cash bonus. So it raises the question, what justifies a $60 tax
deduction as compensation akin to paying the employee a $60 salary
bonus?
Current
tax law treats all three alike. Which method a company uses may not
be fully revealed in a 10-K. It
seems to me that ITEP’s view is correct about Method 3, and it is
likely the method companies such as Facebook, Google, and Apple have most often used. (Facebook had large share repurchases in 2018, but not in the years addressed by ITEP.) But they might also have used Method 2. Given the tax treatment, why wouldn't a company always use Method 3? Because it dilutes the stock, reducing earnings per share (EPS is widely tracked by investors).
Onto
the
second
topic,
I did not find anywhere ITEP criticizing the double
taxation
of stock dividends. The
dividends are taxable to the receiving shareholder, and corporations
are
not allowed to deduct them -- unlike interest paid -- when
calculating taxable income. Assume $100 of pre-tax earnings the
corporation wants to use for a dividend, the corporate tax rate is
21%, and the shareholder’s tax rate is 23.8%. Since $21 + $79*23.8%
= $39.80, the combined tax rate is 39.8%. The Bush tax cuts of 2003
partly reduced the degree
of double taxation when it made qualified
dividends taxable at the lower capital gains tax rates.
Onto
the
third
topic,
I
found one ITEP blog about the taxation of “carried interest”
here.
I agree with the author’s view of it being a loophole that should
be closed.
ITEP
is politically liberal.
It and its sister organization Citizens
for Tax Justice often favor tax breaks for middle
and lower income
individuals
and families.
Tuesday, December 3, 2019
ITEP makes a myth
The
Institute on Taxation and Economic Policy (ITEP) instigated the
articles about Amazon’s and Netflix’s income taxes, which I
recently wrote about. I wasn’t aware of ITEP before then. So I
decided to search for other things published by ITEP. One that I
found was this, The
35 Percent Corporate Tax Myth.
It
was written when the main corporate income tax rate was 35% and
before The Tax Cuts and Jobs Act reduced said rate to 21%. The
following are quotes from the executive Summary of the report:
“Profitable
corporations are subject to a 35 percent federal income tax rate on
their U.S. profits. But many corporations pay far less, or nothing at
all, because of the many tax loopholes and special breaks they enjoy.
This report documents just how successful many Fortune 500
corporations have been at using loopholes and special breaks over the
past eight years.”
“Two
hundred and fifty-eight Fortune 500 companies were consistently
profitable in each of the eight years between 2008 and 2015.”
“As
a group, the 258 corporations paid an effective federal income tax
rate of 21.2 percent over the eight-year period, slightly over half
the statutory 35 percent tax rate.”
The
21.2% is the amount of federal income tax as a percent of “profit,”
which is partly explained in Appendix 1 of the report. “Our report
is based on corporate annual reports to shareholders and the similar
10-K forms that corporations are required to file with the Securities
and Exchange Commission.” U.S. companies are required to prepare
these documents according to a set of accounting standards,
conventions and rules known as Generally Accepted Accounting
Principles, or GAAP.
What the report calls “profit” is GAAP
net income before tax (not
mentioned in the report). The authors determined the U.S. part of it
when it was not separately shown.
However,
the amount of federal income tax is the 35% statutory rate
times taxable income in accordance with the Internal
Revenue Code and regulations. Income taxes are not based
on “profit” as used by ITEP, and the report shows no taxable
income amounts. The two italicized things are often very different. I
will illustrate with an example.
X Corp has $110 operating income ignoring depreciation. It also makes a capital expenditure of $50 which is depreciated over 5 years, since what is purchased is considered useful for 5 years for GAAP accounting. So X’s GAAP net income before tax is $100 (= $110 - $50/5). For income taxes X takes advantage of one of ITEP’s favorite targets for criticism, accelerated depreciation. The prevailing tax law allows the $50 capital expenditure to be deducted immediately. Therefore, its taxable income is $110 - $50 = $60. Tax is 35% * $60 = $21. From one perspective the $21 is 21% of GAAP net income before tax or profit. From a different perspective the $21 is 35% of taxable income. Is the 35% a myth? ITEP’s answer is obvious, but I don’t think so.
To
make the example a little more complete, suppose X also has $110
operating income ignoring depreciation the next year. Absent another
capital expenditure X’s GAAP net income before tax is again $100,
while its taxable income is $110, since the prior year’s $50
capital expense has already been fully deducted. (If the next three years were like year 2, GAAP net income and taxable income would both sum to $500. The difference between the two series is a matter of timing.)
If instead in the second year X makes another $50 capital expenditure depreciable over 5 years, its GAAP net income before tax is $90. Taxable income will again be $60. This scenario is more likely for a growing business. That’s one reason how the corporations in ITEP’s report consistently showed an average 21.2% “effective” tax rate (as a percent of profit, not of taxable income).
If instead in the second year X makes another $50 capital expenditure depreciable over 5 years, its GAAP net income before tax is $90. Taxable income will again be $60. This scenario is more likely for a growing business. That’s one reason how the corporations in ITEP’s report consistently showed an average 21.2% “effective” tax rate (as a percent of profit, not of taxable income).
Sunday, December 1, 2019
AOC's "free stuff"
Alexandria Ocasio-Ortez has strongly objected to others calling her proposals “giving away free stuff.” She says the goods aren’t “free stuff”; they are “public goods.” She added, "I never want to hear the word, or the term, 'free stuff,' ever again." The Washington Examiner, Washington Times, and Fox News tell the story. AOC is from New York, but I didn't find a story in the NY Times, whose motto is “All the News That’s Fit to Print.” I guess they judged it "not fit to print."
The meaning of public good in economics is something like what AOC says. However, the good being something that can be used or enjoyed "without paying for it" is part of the definition. So what she proposes is both a public good and "free stuff" to the users. What she proposes isn't "free stuff" to those who pay for it, taxpayers. Wikipedia says AOC majored in economics (and international relations) at Boston University. Maybe she forgot about or was sleeping when that phrase "without paying for it" was used. 😊
The meaning of public good in economics is something like what AOC says. However, the good being something that can be used or enjoyed "without paying for it" is part of the definition. So what she proposes is both a public good and "free stuff" to the users. What she proposes isn't "free stuff" to those who pay for it, taxpayers. Wikipedia says AOC majored in economics (and international relations) at Boston University. Maybe she forgot about or was sleeping when that phrase "without paying for it" was used. 😊
Subscribe to:
Posts (Atom)