Wednesday, August 10, 2016

Thinking, Fast and Slow #1

I'm almost done reading Thinking, Fast and Slow by Daniel Kahneman. Soon I will post some key points the book makes. Meanwhile the following is an entertaining question he posed.

Consider two car owners who seek to reduce their costs:

Adam switches from a gas guzzler of 12 mpg to a slightly less voracious guzzler that runs at 14 mpg.

The environmentally virtuous Beth switches from a 30 mpg car to one that runs at 40 mpg.

Suppose both drivers travel equal distances over a year. Who will save more gas by switching?

I will give the answer as a comment in a couple days.

1 comment:

  1. The following is Kahneman's answer but not his exact words. The key to the solution is not mpg but its inverse, gpm. Assuming each drives the same number of miles (> 0) in a year, Adam will save more gas, despite his mpg change being smaller -- both absolute and as a percent -- than Beth's. Assume each drives 10,000 miles.

    Adam: 10000/12 - 10000/14 = 833 - 714 = 119 (rounded)
    Beth: 10000/30 - 10000/40 = 333 - 250 = 83 (rounded)

    The following is a more general proof with M = mileage (> 0).

    Adam: M/12 - M/14 = (7M - 6M)/84 = M/84
    Beth: M/30 - M/40 = (4M - 3M)/120 = M/120

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